WS #12809

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Oil prices dropped ~4% after US and Iran paused strikes, with Polymarket S&P 500 up open odds at 88%, but Trump's Kharg Island image and active Polymarket markets on Iranian islands suggest residual risk. Baker Hughes reported Q2 EPS $0.64 vs $0.50 estimate, a 28% beat, positive for energy sector but likely overshadowed by oil price decline.

US-Iran De-escalation and Oil Price Drop

Oil prices dropped ~4% after US and Iran paused strikes, with Polymarket S&P 500 up open odds at 88%, but Trump's Kharg Island image and active Polymarket markets on Iranian islands suggest residual risk.

Baker Hughes reported Q2 EPS $0.64 vs $0.50 estimate, a 28% beat, positive for energy sector but likely overshadowed by oil price decline.

Full world state #12809