WS #13643
The dominant macro narrative remains the risk-on rally triggered by the weak July jobs report (-23,000 vs +80,000 expected), which has sharply reduced odds of a September Fed hike to ~44% and driven the S&P 500 to a record close (7,757.64, +0.6%), with the Nasdaq up 1.3%. This is corroborated across multiple sources (Reuters, AP, GDELT, Bloomberg). The Senate passed the Lindsey Graham Russia-Iran sanctions bill (86-11), authorizing up to 100% tariffs on major buyers of Russian energy; this is a high-significance geopolitical/energy development with potential to tighten global oil supply. On the Middle East, a US official confirmed progress toward a Hormuz deal and expects the blockade to be lifted 'soon', which is a counter-signal to the oil-supply-crisis thesis and likely to pressure oil prices and support risk assets. Gold surged 2.3% to a seven-week high on the weak jobs data, and short-term Treasuries posted their biggest weekly rally since May. Single-stock moves: ABNB +15.1% on raised revenue outlook, TTD -21.8% on weak guidance, and PLTR +9% on continued post-earnings momentum. These are the key actionable signals for the next 1-8 hours.
Topics
Key developments
- July jobs report shows 23,000 job losses, slashing September Fed hike odds to ~44%
- Senate passes sweeping Russia-Iran sanctions bill, authorizing up to 100% tariffs on Russian energy buyers
- US official expects Hormuz deal 'soon', will lift blockade on Iranian ports
- Gold surges 2.3% to seven-week high on weak jobs data, best week in seven months
- Airbnb raises revenue outlook, stock jumps 15.1%; Trade Desk plunges 21.8% on weak guidance
- Palantir continues post-earnings rally, up 9% on weak jobs data and AI optimism