WS #14680

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Iran has signaled a potential closure of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, linking it to key maritime chokepoints and escalating the risk of a global supply shock. This development, combined with ongoing tensions at the Strait of Hormuz, has triggered a massive rally in energy assets, with USO futures up 5.4% and Brent crude pushing past $103. The market is now pricing in a significant probability of sustained supply disruptions, benefiting energy majors and refiners while severely pressuring airlines and shipping logistics.

Middle East Escalation and Energy Shock

Iran has signaled a potential closure of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, linking it to key maritime chokepoints and escalating the risk of a global supply shock. This development, combined with ongoing tensions at the Strait of Hormuz, has triggered a massive rally in energy assets, with USO futures up 5.4% and Brent crude pushing past $103. The market is now pricing in a significant probability of sustained supply disruptions, benefiting energy majors and refiners while severely pressuring airlines and shipping logistics.

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