WS #14742

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The 10-Year Treasury yield reached 5.17%, the highest since 2007, pushing 30-year mortgage rates to 7.03% and threatening emerging market carry trades. Despite this tightening financial condition, the S&P Global US Composite PMI jumped to 58.4, indicating robust economic expansion driven by the services sector. This divergence allows equities to hold up through sector rotation rather than broad risk-off selling.

Macro Rates and Economic Data

The 10-Year Treasury yield reached 5.17%, the highest since 2007, pushing 30-year mortgage rates to 7.03% and threatening emerging market carry trades. Despite this tightening financial condition, the S&P Global US Composite PMI jumped to 58.4, indicating robust economic expansion driven by the services sector. This divergence allows equities to hold up through sector rotation rather than broad risk-off selling.

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