WS #15738

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Escalating Middle East and Eastern European conflicts have directly targeted energy infrastructure, with Houthi missiles striking Saudi airports and Ukraine using domestic missiles to hit Russian oil assets. This supply-side shock has driven Brent crude above the $100 threshold, creating a bifurcated market where energy producers benefit while airlines and shipping face margin compression. The situation is actively escalating, with no immediate diplomatic off-ramps visible.

Geopolitical Energy Shock

Escalating Middle East and Eastern European conflicts have directly targeted energy infrastructure, with Houthi missiles striking Saudi airports and Ukraine using domestic missiles to hit Russian oil assets. This supply-side shock has driven Brent crude above the $100 threshold, creating a bifurcated market where energy producers benefit while airlines and shipping face margin compression. The situation is actively escalating, with no immediate diplomatic off-ramps visible.

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