WS #16225

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The Iranian Foreign Ministry stated they are ready for diplomacy but have no trust in the US administration's sincerity, creating a volatile diplomatic environment. However, this is counterbalanced by the first shipment of Russian diesel arriving in the US under a Trump deal and France securing 200,000 tonnes of diesel monthly from the UAE. This dual dynamic suggests that while geopolitical risk remains elevated, the immediate physical supply crunch may be easing, dampening the bearish outlook for energy-intensive sectors like airlines and consumer discretionary.

Iran Diplomacy & Oil Supply Shock

The Iranian Foreign Ministry stated they are ready for diplomacy but have no trust in the US administration's sincerity, creating a volatile diplomatic environment. However, this is counterbalanced by the first shipment of Russian diesel arriving in the US under a Trump deal and France securing 200,000 tonnes of diesel monthly from the UAE. This dual dynamic suggests that while geopolitical risk remains elevated, the immediate physical supply crunch may be easing, dampening the bearish outlook for energy-intensive sectors like airlines and consumer discretionary.

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