WS #16384

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France has raised trade curbs on Algeria at the EU level, specifically targeting urea fertilizer exports, following an informal ban on French products. Simultaneously, Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil refineries are inflicting severe damage on Rosneft, threatening to reduce global refining capacity. These developments create a dual supply shock for energy and agricultural inputs, supporting bullish sentiment for energy producers and refiners while raising inflation risks.

Geopolitical Supply Shocks

France has raised trade curbs on Algeria at the EU level, specifically targeting urea fertilizer exports, following an informal ban on French products. Simultaneously, Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil refineries are inflicting severe damage on Rosneft, threatening to reduce global refining capacity. These developments create a dual supply shock for energy and agricultural inputs, supporting bullish sentiment for energy producers and refiners while raising inflation risks.

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