WS #16422

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France is facing a deepening sovereign debt crisis, with 10-year OAT yields climbing to 5.14%, a level not seen since 2002. The spike is driven by political gridlock over the 2026 budget deficit and rising political risk, which has widened the spread against German Bunds by 30 basis points this week alone. This stress is a critical outlier in the European macro landscape, potentially triggering ECB intervention or forcing fiscal tightening that could dampen regional growth expectations.

French Sovereign Debt Crisis

France is facing a deepening sovereign debt crisis, with 10-year OAT yields climbing to 5.14%, a level not seen since 2002. The spike is driven by political gridlock over the 2026 budget deficit and rising political risk, which has widened the spread against German Bunds by 30 basis points this week alone. This stress is a critical outlier in the European macro landscape, potentially triggering ECB intervention or forcing fiscal tightening that could dampen regional growth expectations.

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