WS #16445

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Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are escalating as the US has reportedly warned Gulf allies to prepare for a return to full-scale hostilities, following the collapse of ceasefire talks. This risk is priced into energy markets, with UBS raising its year-end Brent oil forecast to $110 a barrel. The combination of supply disruption fears and strong demand supports energy equities but poses a significant headwind for global growth and consumer sentiment.

Middle East Geopolitical Risk

Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are escalating as the US has reportedly warned Gulf allies to prepare for a return to full-scale hostilities, following the collapse of ceasefire talks. This risk is priced into energy markets, with UBS raising its year-end Brent oil forecast to $110 a barrel. The combination of supply disruption fears and strong demand supports energy equities but poses a significant headwind for global growth and consumer sentiment.

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