WS #16520

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The macro backdrop is tightening as the ECB holds rates steady at 2.5% citing sticky inflation, while US Q3 GDP grew at a robust 3.4%, beating expectations. Fed official Ferolius warned that returning to 2% inflation will be challenging, dampening hopes for imminent rate cuts. This environment is pressuring rate-sensitive sectors like UK homebuilders (Persimmon fell 7%) and consumer staples (Hershey, Haleon), while benefiting financials and energy refiners who can pass through higher input costs.

Sticky Inflation and Macro Rates

The macro backdrop is tightening as the ECB holds rates steady at 2.5% citing sticky inflation, while US Q3 GDP grew at a robust 3.4%, beating expectations. Fed official Ferolius warned that returning to 2% inflation will be challenging, dampening hopes for imminent rate cuts. This environment is pressuring rate-sensitive sectors like UK homebuilders (Persimmon fell 7%) and consumer staples (Hershey, Haleon), while benefiting financials and energy refiners who can pass through higher input costs.

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