WS #16616

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Despite the current sell-off, the S&P 500 (SPY) is entering its historically strongest month, November, which typically sees a 'Santa Claus' rally. However, the current magnitude of the tech and crypto sell-off is testing this seasonal trend. If the AI monetization crisis deepens, it could override seasonal tailwinds, leading to a prolonged period of volatility. Investors are closely watching for signs of a bottom in tech and crypto to confirm the start of the seasonal rally.

Market Seasonality and Defense

Despite the current sell-off, the S&P 500 (SPY) is entering its historically strongest month, November, which typically sees a 'Santa Claus' rally. However, the current magnitude of the tech and crypto sell-off is testing this seasonal trend. If the AI monetization crisis deepens, it could override seasonal tailwinds, leading to a prolonged period of volatility. Investors are closely watching for signs of a bottom in tech and crypto to confirm the start of the seasonal rally.

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