WS #16620

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Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian refinery assets and ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Persian Gulf are driving oil prices toward $120 a barrel. This supply shock is generating record windfall profits for integrated oil majors like ExxonMobil and Chevron, while simultaneously inflicting severe margin damage on airlines and shipping companies that rely on jet fuel. The divergence is stark, with energy stocks rallying on volume while transport equities face a valuation reset.

Oil Supply Shock and Energy Bifurcation

Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian refinery assets and ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Persian Gulf are driving oil prices toward $120 a barrel. This supply shock is generating record windfall profits for integrated oil majors like ExxonMobil and Chevron, while simultaneously inflicting severe margin damage on airlines and shipping companies that rely on jet fuel. The divergence is stark, with energy stocks rallying on volume while transport equities face a valuation reset.

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