WS #16634

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Geopolitical tensions have escalated with Houthi attacks damaging the Ras Tanura refinery and Ukrainian strikes resuming on Russian oil facilities. Brent crude has surged towards $118, driven by fears of Strait of Hormuz disruption despite US naval escort efforts. This energy shock creates a bifurcated market impact: energy producers and refiners benefit from higher margins, while airlines, shipping, and consumer discretionary sectors face margin compression from rising fuel and logistics costs.

Middle East Escalation and Oil Shock

Geopolitical tensions have escalated with Houthi attacks damaging the Ras Tanura refinery and Ukrainian strikes resuming on Russian oil facilities. Brent crude has surged towards $118, driven by fears of Strait of Hormuz disruption despite US naval escort efforts. This energy shock creates a bifurcated market impact: energy producers and refiners benefit from higher margins, while airlines, shipping, and consumer discretionary sectors face margin compression from rising fuel and logistics costs.

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