WS #16715

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Political risk is escalating ahead of the US midterms, with prediction markets now pricing a nearly 75% chance of a Democratic Senate takeover. Complicating matters, the DOJ is asking the Supreme Court to intervene in California ballot counting, and Trump allies are reportedly preparing emergency executive orders. This political uncertainty is adding a layer of volatility to the broader market, particularly for sectors sensitive to regulatory changes.

US Midterm Political Risk

Political risk is escalating ahead of the US midterms, with prediction markets now pricing a nearly 75% chance of a Democratic Senate takeover. Complicating matters, the DOJ is asking the Supreme Court to intervene in California ballot counting, and Trump allies are reportedly preparing emergency executive orders. This political uncertainty is adding a layer of volatility to the broader market, particularly for sectors sensitive to regulatory changes.

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