WS #16806

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The International Energy Agency has issued a stark warning that European natural gas reserves could plummet to 10% by the end of winter if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed during prolonged cold weather. Compounding this supply risk, Ukrainian drone strikes have destroyed Russian oil pumping stations, and Russia has restricted aviation kerosene sales following refinery attacks. This convergence of events creates a severe supply-side inflationary shock for energy-intensive industries, particularly European airlines and manufacturing, while providing a sustained bullish tailwind for crude producers and LNG exporters.

Hormuz Energy Crisis

The International Energy Agency has issued a stark warning that European natural gas reserves could plummet to 10% by the end of winter if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed during prolonged cold weather. Compounding this supply risk, Ukrainian drone strikes have destroyed Russian oil pumping stations, and Russia has restricted aviation kerosene sales following refinery attacks. This convergence of events creates a severe supply-side inflationary shock for energy-intensive industries, particularly European airlines and manufacturing, while providing a sustained bullish tailwind for crude producers and LNG exporters.

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