WS #7225
The dominant signal in this window is Cisco's (CSCO) blockbuster Q3 earnings beat and massive guidance raise, driven by an AI order boom. Cisco reported Non-GAAP EPS of $1.06 (beat by $0.02) on revenue of $15.84B (beat by $280M), and raised FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $4.27-$4.29 (from $4.13-$4.17) and revenue guidance to $62.8B-$63.0B (from $61.2B-$61.7B). Q4 guidance also crushed estimates: EPS $1.16-$1.18 vs $1.07 est, revenue $16.7B-$16.9B vs $15.815B est. The company announced a restructuring plan with up to $1B in pre-tax charges to boost AI, security, and silicon investments, and raised expected FY26 orders to $9B from $5B. This is a high-significance positive for CSCO and the broader tech/AI infrastructure theme, corroborated across multiple sources (Alpaca, Seeking Alpha, Benzinga, StockTitan, Bluesky). Other notable earnings include: STAAR Surgical (STAA) with a massive beat (Non-GAAP EPS $0.48 vs $0.40 est, revenue $93.5M vs $78.72M est), Snail (SNAL) turning profitable (EPS $0.06 vs $(0.21) est), and Fossil Group (FOSL) beating estimates (adj EPS $(0.03) vs $(0.35) est). On the negative side, MDxHealth (MDXH) slashed FY2026 revenue guidance to $110M-$115M from $137M-$140M, and Lulus Fashion Lounge (LVLU) missed badly (EPS $(1.44) vs $(0.12) est). The geopolitical backdrop remains tense: the US Senate rejected another Iran war powers resolution (49-50), oil flows through Hormuz fell nearly 30% in Q1, and the IEA reported strategic reserves being drawn at record pace. Kevin Warsh was confirmed as Fed Chair by the Senate, a carry-forward from the previous window. The narrative is ESCALATING on the CSCO AI-driven earnings catalyst, while the Iran/Hormuz oil supply crisis remains STABLE with no de-escalation signal.
Key developments
- Cisco Q3 earnings beat, massive guidance raise on AI order boom; announces restructuring
- US Senate rejects seventh Iran war powers resolution; oil flows through Hormuz fall nearly 30%
- STAAR Surgical Q1 earnings massively beat estimates
- MDxHealth slashes FY2026 revenue guidance by ~20%
- Kevin Warsh confirmed as next Fed Chair by Senate