WS #7284
The dominant signal in this window is the Cerebras Systems (CBRS) IPO, with shares indicated to open at $325-$400, more than double the $185 IPO price, marking the largest Nasdaq debut of 2026. This is corroborated by multiple Reuters updates and social media posts, indicating massive institutional demand for AI chip exposure. Separately, the IMF issued a series of statements: it sees the world economy moving into an 'adverse scenario' with higher oil prices, is discussing assistance with member countries impacted by the Iran war, and welcomes constructive US-China dialogue. The IMF also noted global financial conditions remain accommodative. On the geopolitical front, reports indicate India condemned an attack and sinking of a ship in the Gulf of Oman, escalating regional tensions. Oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz are creeping higher as more supertankers exit, offering limited relief. OPEC production is down 20% since February due to the Iran war. Bitcoin traded below $80,000 ahead of the US Senate CLARITY Act markup vote. Nvidia (NVDA) continues its record-breaking run, now accounting for nearly 60% of the move in SPY. A bearish call on Meta (META) surfaced, citing ad growth of only 3% y/y and a P/E of 30, with a target of -30% in 9 months. Canada unveiled a C$1 trillion plan to double electricity grid capacity by 2050. Ford (F) stock extended its rally as Morgan Stanley sees a $10 billion energy opportunity in its energy storage business. The US-China summit in Beijing saw Xi warn Trump of 'clashes and even conflicts' over Taiwan, but both agreed the Strait of Hormuz must remain open. UK Health Secretary Wes Streeting resigned, potentially triggering a Labour leadership challenge. US import/export prices surged in April by the most in four years on oil-market pressures.
Key developments
- Cerebras Systems IPO indicated to open at $325-$400, more than double IPO price
- IMF warns world economy moving into adverse scenario with higher oil prices
- India condemns attack and sinking of ship in Gulf of Oman, escalating regional tensions
- Oil flows through Strait of Hormuz creep higher as more supertankers exit
- Xi warns Trump of 'clashes and even conflicts' over Taiwan; both agree Hormuz must remain open
- Nvidia accounts for nearly 60% of SPY move, continuing record run
- Bearish call on Meta: ad growth 3% y/y, P/E 30, target -30% in 9 months
- Morgan Stanley sees $10 billion energy opportunity in Ford's energy storage business