WS #8070
No material new developments in the last 30 minutes. The Iran deal narrative remains the dominant signal, with no new corroboration or contradiction beyond what was previously reported. The Russia-Ukraine situation is stable with no new significant strikes or diplomatic moves. No new data points to update the previous synthesis.
Key developments
- Trump says Iran peace deal 'largely negotiated,' Strait of Hormuz to reopen
- Iranian state media denies imminent deal, Strait to stay under Iranian control
- Russian Tu-95MS bombers take off from Olenya, potential missile strike on Ukraine
- Ukrainian drones ignite fire at Russian oil terminal in Krasnodar