WS #10228

From 500 msgs · 5 key-dev

Strait of Hormuz closed after Israel's refusal to withdraw from Southern Lebanon, pushing Brent crude to $92/barrel, with Polymarket questions showing elevated probability of prolonged disruption. Iran's deputy FM signals readiness for a deal, but Trump book claims he assured Musk he wouldn't go to war; Vance 'feeling good' about deal to end Iran war. Ukraine launched major drone strikes on Moscow refinery and Rostov oil depots, with reports of Russia mistakenly striking its own refinery. Poland's parliament approved a 60% windfall tax on oil companies' exceptional profits from the Iran crisis, expected to raise €950 million to fund energy subsidies.

Strait of Hormuz closure and oil price spike

Strait of Hormuz closed after Israel's refusal to withdraw from Southern Lebanon, pushing Brent crude to $92/barrel, with Polymarket questions showing elevated probability of prolonged disruption.

Iran's deputy FM signals readiness for a deal, but Trump book claims he assured Musk he wouldn't go to war; Vance 'feeling good' about deal to end Iran war.

Ukraine launched major drone strikes on Moscow refinery and Rostov oil depots, with reports of Russia mistakenly striking its own refinery.

Poland's parliament approved a 60% windfall tax on oil companies' exceptional profits from the Iran crisis, expected to raise €950 million to fund energy subsidies.

Full world state #10228