WS #13019

From 498 msgs · 8 key-dev

No material new developments in the last 30 minutes. The US-Iran conflict escalation, Fed hawkish hold, and tech earnings divergences remain the dominant narratives with no counter-signals or de-escalation. No new data points to alter the previous synthesis.

Topics

Key developments

  • US and Saudi airstrikes hit Iran-backed PMF bases in Iraq, killing 20 fighters
  • WTI crude oil surges over 7% to $84.92, Brent above $90 on Middle East escalation
  • Fed holds rates steady with three dissents favoring hike; Warsh offers no forward guidance
  • Microsoft Q4 beats: Azure revenue surpasses $100B, commercial RPO doubles to $678B
  • Meta Q2: Revenue beats at $60.8B but EPS misses, free cash flow plunges to $784M on AI capex
  • Robinhood Q2 record revenue $1.31B beats estimates, but crypto revenue falls 38% YoY
  • Chipotle Q2 beats, raises same-store sales growth forecast, approves $1.3B buyback
  • Goldman Sachs pitches $5.4B debt for Microsoft-tied data center