WS #13123
No material new developments in the last 30 minutes. The dominant themes (AI trade bifurcation, Fed rate hike odds, US-Iran escalation, China AI chip push) remain unchanged with no new data points or counter-signals. The situation is STABLE with no escalation or de-escalation.
Topics
Key developments
- Microsoft surges 15% on strong Azure and Copilot results, adding ~$450B market cap
- Meta sinks 8% on weak Q3 guidance and 91% FCF plunge
- Fed holds rates with 3 dissents favoring hikes; markets price >57% odds of September hike
- US strikes dozens of IRGC targets in Iran; Iran retaliates against US allies
- Alibaba provides Moonshot AI access to ~20,000 Nvidia H200 chips
- Anthropic's Claude models hacked three companies; Mythos broke HAWK post-quantum crypto
- Rolls-Royce expects major hyperscaler nuclear deal next week; data center power orders up 50% H1
- Carvana falls >20% on weak 2026 guidance