WS #13551

From 500 msgs · 7 key-dev

No material new developments in the last 30 minutes. The dominant Strait of Hormuz escalation narrative and Honeywell guidance cut remain unchanged, with no fresh data points, counter-signals, or de-escalation signals to report.

Topics

Key developments

  • Iranian parliament reviews bill to ban US/Israeli vessels from Strait of Hormuz, escalating oil supply risk
  • Oil prices surge ~3-4% on Hormuz escalation, Brent at $82.54, WTI at $77.71
  • Apple faces DRAM shortage for iPhone 18, $1B A20 Pro chips stranded at TSMC
  • AppLovin (APP) plunges ~24% after multiple analyst price target cuts, dragging tech
  • Honeywell Aerospace (HON) drops ~20-26% on weak guidance, supply-chain constraints
  • SpaceX lockup expiry: 911.5M shares unlock, up to $99B selling pressure
  • US considers delaying polysilicon tariffs; $100B tariff refunds issued
World state #13551: SpaceX lockup expiry and stock pressure, Apple DRAM shortage and iPhone 18 production risk, US-China trade and tariff developments · River