WS #13561

From 500 msgs · 9 key-dev

No material new developments in the last 30 minutes. The dominant macro theme remains the Strait of Hormuz conflict, which is STABLE-to-DE-ESCALATING, with no new data points contradicting the prior synthesis. Earnings-driven moves from the previous window (Atlassian, Twilio, Cloudflare, The Trade Desk, Datadog, Marathon Digital, CleanSpark) are still in play but have not been updated with fresh information. No counter-signals or non-dominant-narrative developments have emerged to warrant a change in the market outlook.

Topics

Key developments

  • Trump and Saudi officials signal de-escalation in Strait of Hormuz; Trump says war will end 'pretty soon' and US has 'unlimited' munitions
  • Atlassian (TEAM) surges 23% on massive Q4 beat and strong guidance
  • Trade Desk (TTD) craters on Q2 revenue miss and weak Q3 guidance
  • Cloudflare (NET) pops 15% on strong Q2 results and raised FY guidance
  • Marathon Digital (MARA) and CleanSpark (CLSK) miss badly on Bitcoin mining headwinds
  • Nielsen to acquire DoubleVerify (DV) for $2.15B all-cash; DV shares surge
  • Amazon takes new stakes in X-Energy (nuclear) and Allegiant Travel (ALGT)
  • BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC) offloads $523M in loans to rescue troubled private credit fund