WS #13931

From 500 msgs · 8 key-dev

The dominant themes (Hormuz tensions, oil supply deficit, AI infrastructure supercycle) remain stable with no fresh data points or counter-signals. This window carries 8 key development(s), 4 at significance:high: US-Iran ceasefire extension talks under Islamabad MoU; Polymarket odds on ceasefire by Aug 14/31 actively traded; Ukrainian drone strike damages all four AVT units at Russia's Orsk oil refinery; Russia reintroduces gasoline rationing; CoreWeave Q2 revenue +112% YoY, backlog +246% to $104B, raises guidance; Super Micro beats and guides higher; July CPI at 3.4% YoY, core 2.5%, in line; September rate hike odds drop to ~40-48%. A further 4 development(s) sit below significance:high.

Topics

Key developments

  • US-Iran ceasefire extension talks under Islamabad MoU; Polymarket odds on ceasefire by Aug 14/31 actively traded
  • Ukrainian drone strike damages all four AVT units at Russia's Orsk oil refinery; Russia reintroduces gasoline rationing
  • CoreWeave Q2 revenue +112% YoY, backlog +246% to $104B, raises guidance; Super Micro beats and guides higher
  • July CPI at 3.4% YoY, core 2.5%, in line; September rate hike odds drop to ~40-48%
  • US crude inventories surge 17.4M barrels, largest build in 3.5 years, as exports slump
  • Nvidia RTX 50 GPU prices rise up to 40% on Newegg due to AI memory shortage; Micron surges on UBS PT hike to $1,625
  • Wendy's jumps 15% on report Trian Fund Management preparing take-private bid
  • SpaceX stock climbs 6.9% after Starlink launch, holding above IPO price