WS #14353

From 241 msgs · 5 key-dev
Holding: newest synthesis is 36d old

The US-Iran conflict remains escalated with no new strikes or diplomatic moves reported, oil prices hold above $90, and the Fed rate-hike narrative is unchanged. China PMI and property sector signals are stable.. This window carries 5 key development(s), 3 at significance:high: US strikes Iranian rocket launchers on Larak Island; Iran retaliates with missile attacks on US bases in Jordan; Brent crude crosses $90/barrel as Strait of Hormuz traffic collapses to 5 vessels/day; Fed Chair Warsh signals possible rate hike; September odds rise to 60%. A further 2 development(s) sit below significance:high.

Topics

Key developments

  • US strikes Iranian rocket launchers on Larak Island; Iran retaliates with missile attacks on US bases in Jordan
  • Brent crude crosses $90/barrel as Strait of Hormuz traffic collapses to 5 vessels/day
  • Fed Chair Warsh signals possible rate hike; September odds rise to 60%
  • China August PMI improves to 49.8 but remains in contraction; housing measures boost real estate
  • US plans to sanction another bank this week to intensify economic pressure on Iran