WS #15294

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Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have intensified with the reported seizure of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait and continued OPEC+ production discipline, which initially threatened to push Brent crude above $100. However, the G7's decision to coordinate a release of strategic petroleum reserves has acted as a critical counter-signal, successfully dampening the supply crisis thesis and pulling prices back toward $101.59. This intervention prevents a sustained energy inflation spike, protecting consumer sentiment and airline margins from a prolonged shock.

Geopolitical Oil Shock & G7 Response

Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have intensified with the reported seizure of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait and continued OPEC+ production discipline, which initially threatened to push Brent crude above $100. However, the G7's decision to coordinate a release of strategic petroleum reserves has acted as a critical counter-signal, successfully dampening the supply crisis thesis and pulling prices back toward $101.59. This intervention prevents a sustained energy inflation spike, protecting consumer sentiment and airline margins from a prolonged shock.

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