WS #9139
The dominant theme remains the escalation of US-Iran hostilities, with the Strait of Hormuz closure benefiting US energy companies, as stated by Rosneft's CEO. This supports bullish energy sentiment (XOM, CVX, XLE) and bearish consumer/airline sentiment. Ukraine continues to strike Russian energy infrastructure, with a large-scale drone attack hitting oil depots and ports, adding to supply-side risks. The Pentagon raised Israel's counterintelligence threat level to 'critical' over spying concerns, indicating heightened geopolitical risk. The Google-SpaceX $920M/month compute deal is a high-significant positive for AI infrastructure plays (NVDA, GOOGL) and counters the broader tech weakness narrative. A new development: Apple will rely on Google and Nvidia for the new Siri, confirming the AI infrastructure demand and benefiting NVDA and GOOGL. The Nasdaq suffered its worst daily drop in 14 months, led by a semiconductor selloff, driven by strong jobs data raising rate hike fears. This counters the AI infrastructure positive narrative and suggests a rotation out of tech. The US-Iran conflict is ESCALATING, with no de-escalation signals. The Google-SpaceX deal is a carry-forward positive from the previous window, now with additional confirmation from multiple sources. The Apple-Siri news is a new high-significance development for NVDA and GOOGL.
Key developments
- Rosneft CEO says US energy companies main beneficiaries of Strait of Hormuz closure
- Pentagon raises Israel counterintelligence threat level to 'critical'
- Google signs $920M/month AI compute deal with SpaceX for Nvidia GPUs
- Apple to rely on Google and Nvidia for new Siri AI infrastructure
- Nasdaq drops 4.2% on strong US jobs data, rate hike fears